Strategy Explorer

Covered Call Scenario Analyzer

Interactive payoff view for the covered-call opportunity-cost wedge. Compare long stock versus a covered call and see where capped upside begins to create foregone gains.

Covered Call Opportunity Cost Wedge

Adjust the stock price, strike, premium, and one-sigma move to compare annualized return on investment at expiration versus the underlying move.

Loaded default inputs from the latest AAPL quote snapshot. You can still override any field below.

A highest-viability covered-call DTE was unavailable, so annualized ROI is using a 30-day fallback.

X-axis = underlying price percentage change from the current stock price. Y-axis = annualized ROI percentage using the underlying price as capital base and 30 DTE, so covered-call outcomes already include the underlying stock-position return plus option premium.

Symbols table baseline

Baseline comparison is using the AAPL row from the Covered Call Symbols table.

Hypothetical covered call yield: 6.00%  •  Preserve Equities: 4.00%

Modeled total ROI incl. stock

If AAPL is called away at +$311.72, the analyzer models 73.11% annualized ROI including the stock move and premium.

Gap vs. table yield

Versus the symbols-table baseline, the modeled total ROI is +67.11%.

Versus Preserve Equities, the gap is +69.11%.

Break-even +$293.88
Cross-over point +$314.72
Max covered-call profit +$17.84
Annualization DTE 30 days

Payoff comparison at expiration

Blue = long stock annualized ROI. Cyan = covered call annualized ROI. The red wedge shows annualized ROI percentage points given up after the cross-over.

Underlying price change at expiration (%) Annualized ROI at expiration (%) -406% -182% +41% +265% +489% -26% -11% +3% +18% +33% Cross-over

What the wedge means

The wedge measures annualized ROI percentage points the covered call gives up versus long stock once the underlying rises beyond +$314.72 (+6.01%).

Assignment intuition

Before the strike, both annualized ROI lines move together. Above the strike, the short call caps more upside, while premium only offsets part of that foregone annualized return.

Why this comparison matters

The symbols table yield is a quick hypothetical screen, while this analyzer shows a modeled covered-call ROI that includes the underlying stock-position return. Using both helps compare screening yield versus total-position outcome.

Extreme move scenarios

Scenario outcomes below show annualized ROI percentages using the same 30 DTE.

Scenario Price at expiration Underlying move Long stock annualized ROI Covered call annualized ROI Opportunity cost
+2σ Upside +$306.08 +3.10% +37.70% +50.00% 0.00%
+5σ Upside +$319.88 +7.75% +94.26% +73.11% +21.15%
+2σ Upside

Scenario price: +$306.08 (+3.10%). Markers show annualized ROI at that outcome.

-98% -34% +31% +96% +161% -6% -2% +3% +7% +11%
+5σ Upside

Scenario price: +$319.88 (+7.75%). Markers show annualized ROI at that outcome.

-146% -53% +39% +132% +225% -9% -3% +3% +9% +16%

* These calculations are for educational purposes only and should not be used to make investment decisions.

Hypothetical extrapolated gross premium yield percentages are modeled under the assumption that the underlying stock price stays at or below the covered call strike price through expiration; values are annualized and illustrative rather than realized performance.

Hypothetical Extrapolated Gross Premium Yield = (Theoretical Net Credit ÷ Underlying Equity Value) × (365 ÷ Days to Expiration).

Hypothetical Covered Call Yield (no Preserve Equities): mean of model-derived annualized gross premium yields under the assumption that the underlying stock price stays at or below the covered call strike price through expiration. Preserve Equities: uses the same formula and assumption but averages only over a stricter, lower-delta set chosen to reduce assignment risk and maintain long-share exposure.

Maximum loss for a covered call can approach the full value of the underlying stock if the price falls toward zero, partially offset only by any option premium collected; investors can lose almost the entire underlying value even when hypothetical premium yields appear high.

These hypothetical gross yield figures exclude brokerage commissions, regulatory and exchange fees, bid-ask spreads and slippage, financing costs, and taxes; including such costs would reduce any realized results.

Risk disclosure: Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Outcomes depend on markets, configuration, and individual circumstances, and results will vary. Nothing on this page is investment, tax, or legal advice. See Legal and Performance Disclosures.
Hypothetical/Illustrative: Figures and examples on this page are hypothetical and for illustration only; they do not represent actual results. Assumptions, inputs, and model limitations materially affect outcomes. Options involve risk; losses can exceed premiums received. This content is not investment, tax, or legal advice. See Performance Disclosures and Legal.